Twenty years is a very long time, also “good” is relative. I give it about 2-3 years until we can run a model as powerful as Opus 4.1 on a laptop.

Things have improved, people’s standards are just significantly higher. Remember when we didn’t even have clean drinking water? Nope, wasn’t alive back then.

The bubble is irrelevant, that’s just capitalism being inefficient. When the dot com bubble popped it’s not like the internet died. We got things like Netflix and Amazon only after the bubble popped.

I don’t hate AI, and I think broadly hating AI is pretty dumb. It’s a tool that can be used for beneficial things when used responsibly. It can also be used stupidly and for bad things. It’s the person using it who is the decider.

Linux has only become much more user friendly in about the past 5 years. Installing Linux Mint in my experience was actually easier than Windows. It comes down to education and the misconception that using Linux is somehow more difficult than Windows or iOS. The hard truth is if someone is using Windows or iOS they are probably just too lazy to switch as long as it does what they need they don’t care if they’re being burdened with bloatware or spied on.