• Ice@lemmy.world
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    6 hours ago

    Interesting although contentious letter detailing an estimate of potential indirect conflict deaths (it includes potential future deaths).

    However, it seems rather simplistic and/or flawed. They simply multiply the casualties Hamas have reported by a “conservative” x4 multiplier which then gives their number. The multiplier comes from this publication and states that most of the casualties are “indirect and caused mainly by preventable infectious diseases, malnutrition, and neonatal- and pregnancy-related conditions that emerged in the resource-poor post-conflict environment.” - which means that this number includes post-conflict casualties that have not yet happened and are preventable. Furthermore, the base number already includes a lot of indirect civilian deaths, and unlike the other conflicts that the x4 multiplier comes from is heavily reported on and followed by media/authorities.

    This article from Die Welte is more recent and examines a more robust study.

    Still, even if we took the estimate provided by the Lancet here at face value, OP’s claim of “millions of people” looks like absurd misinfo to me.