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Cake day: September 14th, 2025

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  • Well…

    From an evolutionary standpoint, we’re basically the same collection of mostly-hairless primates that, 20,000 years ago, hadn’t yet figured out agriculture and were roaming the land in small groups of maybe 100 or so at most, living off it as best we could.

    From that standpoint, I think that we’ve done pretty well with a brain that evolved to deal with a rather different environment and is having to navigate a terribly-confusing, rather different situation.

    I mean, you see any other critters that have been outperforming us on improving their understanding of the world?



  • Altman said in a statement accompanying the announcement, adding that the company is “building an age-prediction system to estimate age based on how people use ChatGPT.”

    I suppose our theoretical teenager could get an account on, say, Grok and ask it to rephrase all of his prompts as if they were written by a 30-year-old and then send the output of that to ChatGPT. Let the models fight it out based on their profiles of what constitutes an adult.


  • I’d guess that the argument on natural gas is one of the following:

    It’s replacing coal and coal emits more carbon

    The problem is that coal-based power is rapidly declining, at least in the West, and it’s not a huge chunk of the generation mix anymore.

    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/interactive-publications/energy-2025

    In 2023, the energy mix in the EU, meaning the range of energy sources available, mainly consisted of 5 different sources:

    • crude oil and petroleum products (37.7%)
    • natural gas (20.4%)
    • renewable energy (19.5%)
    • solid fuels (10.6%)
    • nuclear (11.8%).

    Oil is a pretty expensive way to generate power. I doubt that wood pellet power plants are very common. So if you want to reduce fossil-fuel-based generation past that, you probably do have to look at reducing natural gas.

    We can use it in conjunction with intermittent renewables at lower levels to avoid expensive energy storage

    Solar and wind aren’t always available when someone wants to use them; they’re intermittent. You have to fill in those gaps somehow. But energy storage is expensive and for pumped hydrostorage, the most-currently-economical form, somewhat geographically-limited. So the idea is that one uses natural gas instead of storing energy from a less-carbon-intensive source to fill in those gaps…but at least you’re using less natural gas than one would if one weren’t using renewable resources and just using natural gas all the time.

    Also, one more tidbit:

    Austria had sued the European Commission, the bloc’s executive, over the inclusion of gas and nuclear in the EU’s classification system for environmentally sustainable economic activities.

    My guess is that Austria’s probably unhappy because Austria uses a ton of hydropower, is very mountainous and has favorable geography for hydropower, so they’d prefer to have hydropower favored.

    kagis

    https://lowcarbonpower.org/region/Austria

    This has hydropower in Austria being 56.2% of Austria’s electricity generation.




  • I think a more interesting question is why there aren’t major US TV news sources between Fox News and the center, occupying the area that the three-more-liberal-kids wanted to take Fox News.

    To the right of Fox News, you have upstarts One America News Network and Newsmax.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newsmax

    During the 2020 United States presidential election, President Trump began to promote Newsmax over its rival, Fox News.[80][81][82][83] Trump’s preference for Newsmax over Fox News became clearer after the latter became the first news outlet to call Arizona for Democratic challenger Joe Biden.[42] Newsmax has made their more conservative leanings a selling point to disaffected Fox News viewers, as well as employing Fox News alumni to join their lineup on Newsmax TV, such as Rob Schmitt and Greg Kelly.[42][84][43] Emily VanDerWerff of Vox reported that the outlet “spent lots of time arguing that other media outlets jumped the gun in calling the election for Biden and that Trump still has a path to win this thing”, and that it was one of the only networks that didn’t call the election for Biden, citing the Trump campaign’s legal challenges. However, she did write that “Newsmax doesn’t go full arch-conservative” and “doesn’t give airtime to QAnon paranoiacs”.[46]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_America_News_Network

    OAN saw growth in its audience as a result of its election coverage. It was boosted in particular by Donald Trump, who expressed disapproval of Fox News’ reporting on the presidential election and encouraged his supporters to instead watch OAN or Newsmax TV, another conservative channel promoting election falsehoods.[150][151][152]

    In the US, there there are a pretty broad range of media outlets on the left. On the right, things are considerably more concentrated. There’s a bunch of data out there on this, but just to dig up a quick recent Pew survey:

    https://www.pewresearch.org/journalism/2025/06/10/the-political-gap-in-americans-news-sources/pj_2025-06-10_news-media-sources_0-02/

    You’d think that there’d be space for a center-right TV channel to the left of Fox News.